"God" vs. the Singularity: Difference between revisions
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<li> Second, there are the facts of common reasoning and basic astrophysics. Since the lowest value the Drake Equation can have is one, and the lowest value a generalization of it can have is "about 1 (per galaxy)", it is therefore a direct consequence of a simple Copernican argument that the chances of this being the first galaxy to evolve intelligent life is roughly equal to the reciprocal of the number of such, as I understand it about 100 billion to 1. | <li> Second, there are the facts of common reasoning and basic astrophysics. Since the lowest value the Drake Equation can have is one, and the lowest value a generalization of it can have is "about 1 (per galaxy)", it is therefore a direct consequence of a simple Copernican argument that the chances of this being the first galaxy to evolve intelligent life is roughly equal to the reciprocal of the number of such, as I understand it about 100 billion to 1. | ||
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<li> Third, I assume in this century sufficient advances to make a positive statement of fact. Astrophysics will advance so that a generalized Drake Equation will have been given empirical support on the number of | <li> Third, I assume in this century sufficient advances to make a positive statement of fact. Astrophysics will advance so that a generalized Drake Equation will have been given empirical support on the number of planets that could support life. SETI and the like will confirm or not that EM level civilizations have or have not existed at least in this galaxy.</li><br/> | ||
<li> At this point the epistemological basis will be set for making an assessment of the existence of 1 above.</li> | <li> At this point the epistemological basis will be set for making an assessment of the existence of 1 above.</li> | ||
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