"God" vs. the Singularity: Difference between revisions
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<li> Second, there are the facts of common reasoning and basic astrophysics. Since the lowest value the Drake Equation can have is one, and the lowest value a generalization of it can have is "about 1 (per galaxy)", it is therefore a direct consequence of a simple Copernican argument that the chances of this being the first galaxy to evolve intelligent life is roughly equal to the reciprocal of the number of such, as I understand it to be less than 100 billion to 1. | <li> Second, there are the facts of common reasoning and basic astrophysics. Since the lowest value the Drake Equation can have is one, and the lowest value a generalization of it can have is "about 1 (per galaxy)", it is therefore a direct consequence of a simple Copernican argument that the chances of this being the first galaxy to evolve intelligent life is roughly equal to the reciprocal of the number of such, as I understand it to be less than 100 billion to 1. | ||
<blockquote> | <blockquote> | ||
''Update:'' this needs to be adjusted per the fact that the 100 billion figure is derived from the observable universe and the actual entire universe is | ''Update:'' this needs to be adjusted per the fact that the 100 billion figure is derived from the observable universe and the actual entire universe is larger. So changed above to a positive order relation. | ||
</blockquote> | </blockquote> | ||
</li> | </li> | ||