Fermi Paradox: Difference between revisions
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{{Main|Zoo hypothesis}} | {{Main|Zoo hypothesis}} | ||
:Note: see the English wiki, redacted version current of this re T.W. Hair's article. | |||
It is possible that the belief that alien races would communicate with the human species is merely an assumption, and that alien civilizations may not wish to communicate, even if they have the technical ability. A particular reason that alien civilizations may choose not to communicate is the so-called Zoo hypothesis: the idea that alien civilizations avoid contact with Earth so as not to interfere with our development, or to preserve an isolated "zoo or wilderness area".<ref>John A. Ball. "The Zoo Hypothesis," ''Icarus,'' vol 19, issue 3, pp 347–349, July 1973.</ref> | It is possible that the belief that alien races would communicate with the human species is merely an assumption, and that alien civilizations may not wish to communicate, even if they have the technical ability. A particular reason that alien civilizations may choose not to communicate is the so-called Zoo hypothesis: the idea that alien civilizations avoid contact with Earth so as not to interfere with our development, or to preserve an isolated "zoo or wilderness area".<ref>John A. Ball. "The Zoo Hypothesis," ''Icarus,'' vol 19, issue 3, pp 347–349, July 1973.</ref> | ||
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* First I assume the current understanding of the Drake parameters up to and thru the point of the technological singularity, now identified with first contact, are as follows: | * First I assume the current understanding of the Drake parameters up to and thru the point of the technological singularity, now identified with first contact, are as follows: | ||
** ''L'' - essentially infinite, once species attain to the singularity only heat death of universe a threat, so 1 million chosen arbitrarily. | ** ''L'' - essentially infinite, once species attain to the singularity only heat death of universe a threat, so 1 million chosen arbitrarily. | ||
** ''f''<sub>i</sub> same value but interpreted as fraction reaching singluarity, so <blockquote>With the other parameters as given at fork from English article that yields:<br/><br/>''N'' = 7 × 0.5 × 2 × 0.33 × 0.01 × 0.01 × 1,000,000 = 231.<br/><br/>and with a 10<sup>6</sup> count for the factor to generalize from the home galaxy, a total of roughly a 100 million worlds since I presume that post-singularity, intergalactic distances are not, for the purposes of communication alone, significantly different from interstellar distances.</blockquote> | ** ''f''<sub>i</sub> - same value but interpreted as fraction reaching singluarity, so <blockquote>With the other parameters as given at fork from English article that yields:<br/><br/>''N'' = 7 × 0.5 × 2 × 0.33 × 0.01 × 0.01 × 1,000,000 = 231.<br/><br/>and with a 10<sup>6</sup> count for the factor to generalize from the home galaxy, a total of roughly a 100 million worlds since I presume that post-singularity, intergalactic distances are not, for the purposes of communication alone, significantly different from interstellar distances.</blockquote> | ||
* Next, a branch must be made for whether or not ET has already a terrestrial presence which I assume negatively but I don't assume that communications haven't been ongoing or that local material evolution might not have been shaped and the later in particular with fine tuning as required by ... | * Next, a branch must be made for whether or not ET has already a terrestrial presence which I assume negatively but I don't assume that communications haven't been ongoing or that local material evolution might not have been shaped and the later in particular with fine tuning as required by ... | ||
* The METI issue is of a piece with the unification of language on a world such as the Earth, communication with the cosmopolitan culture, and the means by which this occurs, assumed to be direct mental connection between species capable of at least transcieving via individuals selected and/or selectively bred for this purpose (the explanation for the development of the language faculty | * The METI issue is of a piece with the unification of language on a world such as the Earth, communication with the cosmopolitan culture, and the means by which this occurs, assumed to be direct mental connection between species capable of at least transcieving via individuals selected and/or selectively bred for this purpose (the explanation for the development of the language faculty in the first place). | ||
* Communications are therefore necessarily passive and unconscious prior to first contact or what would properly be called first realization of contact. This is the resolution of the apparent paradox. | * Communications are therefore necessarily passive and unconscious prior to first contact or what would properly be called first realization of contact. This is the resolution of the apparent paradox. | ||
* The point at which a local culture becomes aware of the cosmopolitan culture is associated with the serendipitous event of the realization by one or more individuals followed by the social construction of a language by which general communications can take place. The singularity or omega point of cultural development is associated with this event which of course is more of a process, except for whatever event makes it a reality in the consciousness of a local culture. | * The point at which a local culture becomes aware of the cosmopolitan culture is associated with the serendipitous event of the realization by one or more individuals followed by the social construction of a language by which general communications can take place. The singularity or omega point of cultural development is associated with this event which of course is more of a process, except for whatever event makes it a reality in the consciousness of a local culture. | ||
