InArticuloMortis

2024-02-01: The political situation ATM — The best outcome I didn think would did with the Biden-Trump rerun being a subject of widespread disbelief that it will actually transpire.

Trump has completely destroyed the old GOP transforming it into the US version of global reactionary populism which got a boost from the western liberal orders reaction to the pandemic and other social issues.

The reversal of what was considered right and left a half century ago is fairly complete if you take the modern corporate left as a legitimate one.

Minor but brutal wars in regions where it is endemic mask the fact that great power conflict hasn happened since technology mooted total war. The US and China are very unlikely antagonists although the standard jingoism is in full force, that's something unchanged although now China is the preeminent challenge to American hegemony, of which it appears the American people may be about to call time.

The second AI hype cycle is still in full swing with no apparent pushback on the use of the term for pretty much anything that isn clearest data processing. A sense that its peaking tho.

There's a sense of unreality as revolutionary changes are being effected but not consciously as in the past by revolutionary actors. The old order postures as its own replacement, more or less successfully in the absence of anything authentic except backwardness which is ofc utterly incapable of articulating anything other than a distorted notion of the past.

Trump is still the presumptive GOP nominee after two primaries and SCOTUS hasn ruled on whether or not states can exclude him from ballot. My guess is they will so rule since this power is pretty explicit in the constitution but we'll see if they even squarely address the issue.

With Trump out of the picture Haley will be the presumptive nominee and she has been polling as beating Biden by a wide margin for a time.