InArticuloMortis
2024-02-01: The political situation ATM — The best outcome I didn think would did with the Biden-Trump rerun being a subject of widespread disbelief that it will actually transpire.
Trump has completely destroyed the old GOP transforming it into the US version of global reactionary populism which got a boost from the western liberal orders reaction to the pandemic and other social issues.
The reversal of what was considered right and left a half century ago is fairly complete if you take the modern corporate left as a legitimate one.
Minor but brutal wars in regions where it is endemic mask the fact that great power conflict hasn happened since technology mooted total war. The US and China are very unlikely antagonists although the standard jingoism is in full force, that's something unchanged although now China is the preeminent challenge to American hegemony, of which it appears the American people may be about to call time.
The second AI hype cycle is still in full swing with no apparent pushback on the use of the term for pretty much anything that isn clearest data processing. A sense that its peaking tho.
There's a sense of unreality as revolutionary changes are being effected but not consciously as in the past by revolutionary actors. The old order postures as its own replacement, more or less successfully in the absence of anything authentic except backwardness which is ofc utterly incapable of articulating anything other than a distorted notion of the past.
Trump is still the presumptive GOP nominee after two primaries and SCOTUS hasn ruled on whether or not states can exclude him from ballot. My guess is they will so rule since this power is pretty explicit in the constitution but we'll see if they even squarely address the issue. With Trump out of the picture Haley would be the presumptive nominee and she has been polling as beating Biden by a wide margin for a time.
2024-07-03: Trump has cleared the field and ATM he himself is the only thing standing between him and a second term. He has shown something not seen before, namely restraint in letting the opposing party implode without detracting from the attention it is rightly getting. I'm calling pivot. Biden's best timing on the other hand would be to announce retirement for the good of the country tomorrow but it's clear he has no intention of doing so although this seems to be just due to someone who wasn that bright in the first place. He appears to be intent on a campaign to demonstrate in unscripted public performance the not-so MCI he evinced isn frank, pervasive.
Unless he can carry thru on that, he should have exited by the convention tho and it will then be seen if that party can recover from the changes it instituted due to the events 56 ya this Sept in Chicago, which I remember vividly, although I was 14. If Biden is in fact fairly gone in clinical [[:en:Mild cognitive impairment|MCI]], or even is able to perform but the country just rejects him and his party covering up his condition for 3 years but not taking action then the reckoning of both parties will be complete.
