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Fermi Paradox: Difference between revisions
From Cibernética Americana
→My Take
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* First I assume the current understanding of the Drake parameters up to and thru the point of the technological singularity, now identified with first contact, are as follows: | * First I assume the current understanding of the Drake parameters up to and thru the point of the technological singularity, now identified with first contact, are as follows: | ||
** ''L'' - essentially infinite, once species attain to the singularity only heat death of universe a threat, so 1 million chosen arbitrarily. | ** ''L'' - essentially infinite, once species attain to the singularity only heat death of universe a threat, so 1 million chosen arbitrarily. | ||
** ''f''<sub>i</sub> same but value but interpreted as fraction reaching singluarity, so <blockquote>With the other parameters as given at fork from English article that yields:<br/>< | ** ''f''<sub>i</sub> same but value but interpreted as fraction reaching singluarity, so <blockquote>With the other parameters as given at fork from English article that yields:<br/><br/> | ||
:''N'' = 7 × 0.5 × 2 × 0.33 × 0.01 × 0.01 × 1,000,000 = 231.<br/><br/>and with a 10<sup>6</sup> count for the factor to generalize from the home galaxy, a total of roughly a 100 million worlds since I presume that post-singularity, intergalactic distances are not, for the purposes of communication alone, significantly different from interstellar distances.</blockquote> | :''N'' = 7 × 0.5 × 2 × 0.33 × 0.01 × 0.01 × 1,000,000 = 231.<br/><br/>and with a 10<sup>6</sup> count for the factor to generalize from the home galaxy, a total of roughly a 100 million worlds since I presume that post-singularity, intergalactic distances are not, for the purposes of communication alone, significantly different from interstellar distances.</blockquote> | ||
* Next, a branch must be made for whether or not ET has already a terrestrial presence which I assume negatively but I don't assume that communications haven't been ongoing or that local material evolution might not have been shaped and the later in particular with fine tuning as required by ... | * Next, a branch must be made for whether or not ET has already a terrestrial presence which I assume negatively but I don't assume that communications haven't been ongoing or that local material evolution might not have been shaped and the later in particular with fine tuning as required by ... | ||
