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* First I assume the current understanding of the Drake parameters up to and thru the point of the technological singularity, now identified with first contact, are as follows: | * First I assume the current understanding of the Drake parameters up to and thru the point of the technological singularity, now identified with first contact, are as follows: | ||
** ''L'' - essentially infinite, once species attain to the singularity only heat death of universe a threat, so 1 million chosen arbitrarily. | ** ''L'' - essentially infinite, once species attain to the singularity only heat death of universe a threat, so 1 million chosen arbitrarily. | ||
** ''f''<sub>i</sub> same but value but interpreted as fraction reaching singluarity, | ** ''f''<sub>i</sub> same but value but interpreted as fraction reaching singluarity, so <blockquote>With the other parameters as given at fork from English article that yields:<br/></br/> | ||
With the other parameters as given at fork from English article that yields: | :''N'' = 7 × 0.5 × 2 × 0.33 × 0.01 × 0.01 × 1,000,000 = 231.<br/><br/>and with a 10<sup>6</sup> count for the factor to generalize from the home galaxy, a total of roughly a 100 million worlds since I presume that post-singularity, intergalactic distances are not, for the purposes of communication alone, significantly different from interstellar distances.</blockquote> | ||
:''N'' = 7 × 0.5 × 2 × 0.33 × 0.01 × 0.01 × 1,000,000 = 231. | |||
and with a 10<sup>6</sup> count for the factor to generalize from the home galaxy, a total of roughly a 100 million worlds since I presume that post-singularity, intergalactic distances are not, for the purposes of communication alone, significantly different from interstellar distances. | |||
</blockquote> | |||
* Next, a branch must be made for whether or not ET has already a terrestrial presence which I assume negatively but I don't assume that communications haven't been ongoing or that local material evolution might not have been shaped and the later in particular with fine tuning as required by ... | * Next, a branch must be made for whether or not ET has already a terrestrial presence which I assume negatively but I don't assume that communications haven't been ongoing or that local material evolution might not have been shaped and the later in particular with fine tuning as required by ... | ||
* The METI issue is of a piece with the unification of language on a world such as the Earth, communication with the cosmopolitan culture, and the means by which this occurs, assumed to be direct mental connection between species capable of at least transcieving via individuals selected and/or selectively bred for this purpose (the explanation for the development of the language faculty generally). | * The METI issue is of a piece with the unification of language on a world such as the Earth, communication with the cosmopolitan culture, and the means by which this occurs, assumed to be direct mental connection between species capable of at least transcieving via individuals selected and/or selectively bred for this purpose (the explanation for the development of the language faculty generally). |