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USStateFramework: Difference between revisions
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<blockquote style="text-align: justify; color: darkgray;"> | <blockquote style="text-align: justify; color: darkgray;"> | ||
<blockquote style="color: yellow;"> | <blockquote style="color: yellow;"> | ||
2019-07-14: The political situation ATM — At this time, in the realm of ordinary bourgeois politics, the apparent best outcome would be a Trump reelection which | <b>2019-07-14:</b> The political situation ATM — At this time, in the realm of ordinary bourgeois politics, the apparent best outcome would be a Trump reelection which | ||
would essentially smother the old order, unless the GOP lost the senate. From the perspective of that order, the best outcome would be perhaps a Warren-Sanders ticket which could kick the can down the road a long way. To do for the democrats what Buck has done for the GOP you need a Biden but it looks like he'll not make it, nor anything like him | would essentially smother the old order, unless the GOP lost the senate. From the perspective of that order, the best outcome would be perhaps a Warren-Sanders ticket which could kick the can down the road a long way. To do for the democrats what Buck has done for the GOP you need a Biden but it looks like he'll not make it, nor anything like him | ||
with a similar interring effect. The thing calling itself the Left can't produce an authentic challenge to the Established order, such as Trump superficially is, | with a similar interring effect. The thing calling itself the Left can't produce an authentic challenge to the Established order, such as Trump superficially is, | ||
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blindly off the stage of History as the oblivious establishment it in fact is. Impossible to guess at the odds with no ticket at this point, but there's no | blindly off the stage of History as the oblivious establishment it in fact is. Impossible to guess at the odds with no ticket at this point, but there's no | ||
doubt the mentioned one, or one like it, could restore the broken order, prevent a reelection.<br> | doubt the mentioned one, or one like it, could restore the broken order, prevent a reelection.<br> | ||
2020-03-03: Polls haven't closed yet but looks like the establishment maneuvers to stop Sanders in favor of Biden will succeed, as unlikely as that seemed last week.<br> | <b>2020-03-03:</b> Polls haven't closed yet but looks like the establishment maneuvers to stop Sanders in favor of Biden will succeed, as unlikely as that seemed last week.<br> | ||
2020-03-11: By my valuation of Lichtman's keys in Biden vs. Trump, Trump will be reelected, as things stand now and can be expected to be in November.<br> | <b>2020-03-11:</b> By my valuation of Lichtman's keys in Biden vs. Trump, Trump will be reelected, as things stand now and can be expected to be in November.<br> | ||
2020-05-18: What a difference a couple of months can make! Now Biden v Trump is set and the pandemic has acted as a light turned on to illuminate globally what was only partially clear before. Looked at the 538 site and an article where it is wondering why people think Trump will win. They seem incapable of grasping that people would let Trump have another four years even if the best that can be said for Biden is that the claims of his assault accuser are probably false because she is a liar. That and he's not Trump. So naturally people think, and they are likely right that Trump's energized and now detached (from the formerly restraining GOP establishment) dead end coalition will prevail as a result of gerrymandering, an energized base and the opposite of that on the not even pseudo left party of Obama and the Clintons. So things have come full circle and the alternation I mentioned at the start last Bastille day is now the present locked in lesser evil rerun that will be forced in November. In fact an unforeseen possibility now looms of a Trump reelection with Democrats taking the Senate but not by enough to swing a second impeachment. | <b>2020-05-18:</b> What a difference a couple of months can make! Now Biden v Trump is set and the pandemic has acted as a light turned on to illuminate globally what was only partially clear before. Looked at the 538 site and an article where it is wondering why people think Trump will win. They seem incapable of grasping that people would let Trump have another four years even if the best that can be said for Biden is that the claims of his assault accuser are probably false because she is a liar. That and he's not Trump. So naturally people think, and they are likely right that Trump's energized and now detached (from the formerly restraining GOP establishment) dead end coalition will prevail as a result of gerrymandering, an energized base and the opposite of that on the not even pseudo left party of Obama and the Clintons. So things have come full circle and the alternation I mentioned at the start last Bastille day is now the present locked in lesser evil rerun that will be forced in November. In fact an unforeseen possibility now looms of a Trump reelection with Democrats taking the Senate but not by enough to swing a second impeachment. | ||
</blockquote> | </blockquote> | ||
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